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VA-Sen

Virginia Senate Race

Incumbent

John Warner
Party

Republican
Seeking Re-election?
No, announced retirement on 8-31 CNN
Candidate Website

Senate Website
Other Resources Congresspedia profile on John Warner

Challenger

Fmr. Gov. Mark Warner
Party

Democratic
Source of Information
multiple media sources
Washington Post, 9/13/07
Candidate Website
Campaign Website;
Forward Together PAC
Fundraising Link

ActBlue
Other Resources Congresspedia profile on Mark Warner

Challenger

Fmr. Gov. Jim Gilmore
Party

Republican
Source of Information
multiple media sources
The AP
Statement (though he or the reporter is confused about when Warner's term is up)
Candidate Website

Campaign Website
Other Resources Congresspedia profile on Jim Gilmore

Challenger

Del. Bob Marshall
Party

Republican
Source of Information

The Washington Post
Candidate Website

Campaign Website
Other Resources



Declined Challenger
Rep. Tom Davis

Party

Republican
Source of Information

media reports, 10/25/07
Candidate Website



Challenger

Bob Perry
Party

Republican
Source of Information

Campaign Website
Candidate Website

Campaign Website

Challenger

Julien Modica
Party

Democratic
Source of Information

Campaign Website
Candidate Website

Campaign Website

Background Information

John Warner currently sits on the Senate Armed Services Committee, Environment and Public Works Committee, Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, and Senate Committee on Intelligence.

Recently, he has garnered a lot of recognition for calling for a troop reduction in Iraq. This move may possibly been intended to help whoever runs for his Senate seat on the Republican side.

Dr. Larry J. Sabato, a professor at the University of Virginia, had this to say about the election:

The Virginia GOP appears headed for another one of its periodic conservative versus moderate bloodlettings as former Gov. Jim Gilmore and Congressman Tom Davis battle for the party nomination (The key moment may come in the fall when the GOP's governing state central committee decides whether to hold a primary that could favor the moderate Davis or a convention that might tilt to the more conservative Gilmore). Mark Warner's popular governorship would make him a favorite even if the Republicans weren't split, but the possibility of a Republican donnybrook only adds to his edge. However, it must be noted that a Hillary Clinton nomination for President--highly unlikely to be popular in Virginia unless there is a Democratic landslide in progress--would require Warner to secure tens of thousands of crossover, ticket-splitting votes. He'll likely do it, but Clinton won't make it easy for Warner.

Local Blogs
Raising Kaine



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tricky5533 It's Official 0 Sep 15 2007, 10:07 AM EDT by tricky5533
Thread started: Sep 15 2007, 10:07 AM EDT  Watch
Mark Warner has entered this Senate race. The addition of him will probably mean that this seat leans toward a Democratic takeover.

I realize that this is early, but I'm going to make a prediction anyway: the Democrats will take 2-6 former Republican seats back this next year, while losing just one or two. The seats that they have the inside edge on are in Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire. Seats that may potentially be taken by Dems are in Minnesota, Oregon, and Nebraska (depending on who runs in the Husker state, of course).

There's still a lot of politicking to be done, but, for now, it looks like the Dems have the inside edge on maintaining, and even padding to, their lead in the Senate.
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RenaRF Mark Warner 2 Dec 2 2006, 11:08 AM EST by KCinDC
RenaRF
Thread started: Nov 24 2006, 3:47 PM EST  Watch
At the Webb campaign's final post-election party, I heard wide speculation that Mark Warner will NOT run for this Senate seat. The CW seems to be that a Senate seat for M. Warner is by far less attractive than another run at Governor in 2009. I feel pretty strongly that Virginia Democrats need to search in earnest for a challenger to either John Warner (if he runs again) or any of the other Republicans who would try to succeed John Warner in the same way that they found Webb when challenging Allen. Any thoughts on this? Anyone from the Virginia Assembly who would have potential? The other name I heard widely discussed was that of Doug Wilder. That's pure speculation, however.
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TheDailyBackground There are clearly too many people named Warner in Virginia politics... 0 Nov 25 2006, 2:31 AM EST by TheDailyBackground
TheDailyBackground
Thread started: Nov 25 2006, 2:31 AM EST  Watch
n/t
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mookie Davis is on Abramoff's list of Pay To Play politicians 0 Nov 25 2006, 2:18 AM EST by mookie
Thread started: Nov 25 2006, 2:18 AM EST  Watch
<a href="http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/2006/10/no-one-ever-said-abramoff-was-stupid.html">here</a> and an awful lot more <a href="http://www.dailykos.com/tag/Tom%20Davis">here</a> and <a href="http://www.tomdavistruth.com">here.</a>
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Predictor Davis-R VA-11 won re-election 1 Nov 11 2006, 2:56 PM EST by JamesL.
Predictor
Thread started: Nov 11 2006, 2:45 PM EST  Watch
with 55% of the vote to 44% for Andrew Hurst and 1% for Indy Greco. Davis withstood Webb carrying the district with 54.69% of the vote.Hurst put on a strong campain, he was an upset primary winner defeating Kenneth Longmyer, who faced Davis in '04 getting only 38% of the vote. Hurst lacked any significant Netroots funding but did get attention from the "RaisingKaine" website. It is doubtful that Hurst even came close to Davis' warchest.
Should Davis move on, Hurst is well positioned to make another stab at it in '08. I think Davis' No.VA base (FairaX Co.) which has been trending Dem will help and not necessarily hurt him downstate. Although an ardent Bush supporter his NJournal ratings have him ranging from 75% Conserv on Economic to 48% Conserv on Social. If he presents himself as a moderate-centrist he could be a formidable contender.
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